{"id":3059,"date":"2024-02-26T13:18:08","date_gmt":"2024-02-26T10:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/siid.beevro.com\/?p=3059"},"modified":"2024-02-27T12:40:21","modified_gmt":"2024-02-27T09:40:21","slug":"depremin-ekonomik-boyutu-ve-toplumsal-degerler-sigorta-ve-altyapi-reformu-zamani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/2024\/02\/26\/depremin-ekonomik-boyutu-ve-toplumsal-degerler-sigorta-ve-altyapi-reformu-zamani\/","title":{"rendered":"Depremin Ekonomik Boyutu ve Toplumsal De\u011ferler: Sigorta ve Altyap\u0131 Reformu Zaman\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

K\u0131lavuz\u2019un \u201cDeprem<\/a>in ekonomi<\/a>k boyutu 84 milyar dolar\u201d<\/strong> ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 o makale<\/a>si \u015f\u00f6yle:  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye tarihinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck felaketinde \u00c7evre \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re 61 binden fazla binan\u0131n acil y\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi belirtildi. T\u00fcrk Giri\u015fim ve \u0130\u015f D\u00fcnyas\u0131 Konfederasyonu (TURKONFED), Kahramanmara\u015f merkez \u00fcsl\u00fc depremlerin meydana getirdi\u011fi hasarla ilgili bir \u00f6n rapor haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Raporda Kahramanmara\u015f depremlerinin 84.1 milyar dolarl\u0131k mali hasar olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Deprem b\u00f6lgesinde \u00f6l\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 72 bin 663’e kadar \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marmara depreminde can kayb\u0131 18 bin 373 ki\u015fi, mali hasar 1999 dolar verisiyle 17.1 milyar dolar hesap edilmi\u015fti. Marmara depremi, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fseydi, can kayb\u0131 26 bin 451 ki\u015fi ve 51.1 milyar dolar mali hasar olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Marmara depremi verilerinin kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 metodoloji ile Kahramanmara\u015f depremi 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 dolar verileriyle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 84.1 milyar dolar mali hasar hesaplan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 1 trilyon liray\u0131 a\u015fabilir<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Raporda ayr\u0131ca Kahramanmara\u015f depreminin etkilerine ili\u015fkin raporda \u015fu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclere yer verildi: *Kahramanmara\u015f depreminin 70.75 milyar dolar\u0131 konut zarar\u0131, 10.4 milyar dolar\u0131 da milli gelir kayb\u0131 ve 2.91 milyar dolar\u0131 da i\u015fg\u00fcn\u00fc kayb\u0131 olmak \u00fczere toplamda 84.06 milyar dolar hasara neden olmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*\u0130llerin milli gelire katk\u0131lar\u0131ndaki azalmaya paralel olarak afete maruz kalan 11 ilin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n, ihracat\u0131 g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcsleyen liman altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bozulmas\u0131n\u0131n da etkisiyle, 15 milyar dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi tahmin edilebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*2023 y\u0131l b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 659.6 milyar TL olarak hedefleniyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bloomberg ekonomi b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, depreme ili\u015fkin kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 5.5\u2019ine e\u015fde\u011fer olabilece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. Mevcut \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n en az\u0131ndan 1 trilyon TL’nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 beklenebilir. 2023’te nominal milli gelirin 18 trilyon TL’yi a\u015fmas\u0131 beklendi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fczde b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 5.4’\u00fcn \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi olduk\u00e7a m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1755 y\u0131l\u0131nda Portekiz Krall\u0131\u011f\u0131, 8.5-9.0 \u015fiddetinde bir deprem ile yerle bir olur. 50 bin ila 100 bin aras\u0131 insan ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 yitirir. Bu olay tarihe “B\u00fcy\u00fck Lizbon Depremi” olarak ge\u00e7er. Lizbon Depremi sonras\u0131nda kilise, “Bu deprem Tanr\u0131\u2019n\u0131n gazab\u0131d\u0131r. S\u0131nan\u0131yoruz, ahlaks\u0131zl\u0131ktan oldu” a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 yapar. B\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcr Voltaire<\/strong> ise kiliseye “Papa ve t\u00fcm din adamlar\u0131 yalan s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Lizbon depremi ilahi de\u011fil, tektonik bir hadisedir\u201d diye cevap verir. Bunun \u00fczerine Jean-Jacques Rousseau<\/strong> son s\u00f6z\u00fc s\u00f6yler: “Lizbon depremi elbette papan\u0131n izah etti\u011fi gibi ilahi bir hadise de\u011fildir. Ne var ki Voltaire<\/strong>‘nin dedi\u011fi gibi yaln\u0131zca do\u011fa olay\u0131 ile de a\u00e7\u0131klanmaz. Lizbon’un yoksul mahallelerinde daha fazla \u00f6l\u00fcm ve y\u0131k\u0131ma neden oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re, bu deprem her \u015feyden \u00f6nce sosyolojik bir hadisedir. Yani sadece jeolojik bir do\u011fa olay\u0131 olsayd\u0131 fakirler \u00f6lmezdi.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eimdi tart\u0131\u015fmalar daha s\u0131radan, daha sald\u0131rgan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De\u011fi\u015fmeyen tek \u015fey inand\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Tanr\u0131\u2019y\u0131, dini alet edip kin kusmalar\u0131. \u00dclkemizde depremin afet olarak kabullenilmesi gerekenden \u00f6te dayat\u0131lan bir do\u011fa olay\u0131 \u015fekline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmektedir. Halbuki do\u011fal afet \/ zelzeleyi, fay hatlar\u0131 zaman zaman hat\u0131rlatmaktad\u0131r. Yap\u0131lacak \u015fey depremin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul ederek binalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 buna g\u00f6re in\u015fa etmektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nas\u0131l ki trafik i\u00e7erisinde muayenesi olmayan ara\u00e7 trafikten men edilmektedir. \u0130n\u015fa edilecek her t\u00fcrl\u00fc yap\u0131n\u0131n kesin net bilimsel ve kurallar\u0131, zorunluluklar\u0131 olmak zorunda. Anayasa gibi g\u00fcncellemeye a\u00e7\u0131k olmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130n\u015faat yap\u0131lacak arsan\u0131n elveri\u015flili\u011finden ba\u015flamal\u0131\u2026 S\u00fcre\u00e7, takip ve onay ile ilerlemeli. En nihayetinde t\u00fcm sistem, kontrolleri yap\u0131larak yerle\u015fime a\u00e7\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Hi\u00e7bir m\u00fchendis, m\u00fcteahhit, b\u00fcrokrat, siyasi yap\u0131 bu sisteme zerre kere zerre m\u00fcdahale edememelidir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u0131lavuz\u2019un \u201cDepremin ekonomik boyutu 84 milyar dolar\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 o makalesi \u015f\u00f6yle:   T\u00fcrkiye tarihinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck felaketinde \u00c7evre \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re 61 binden fazla binan\u0131n acil y\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi belirtildi. T\u00fcrk Giri\u015fim ve \u0130\u015f D\u00fcnyas\u0131 Konfederasyonu (TURKONFED), Kahramanmara\u015f merkez \u00fcsl\u00fc depremlerin meydana getirdi\u011fi hasarla ilgili bir \u00f6n rapor haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Raporda Kahramanmara\u015f depremlerinin 84.1 milyar dolarl\u0131k mali…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3060,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,19,17,16],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3059"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3059"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3059\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3061,"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3059\/revisions\/3061"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3060"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3059"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3059"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/siid.org.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3059"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}